Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 1.694028 1.933369 2.196130 2.506283 2.862740 3.260021 3.736985
2025-09-14 1.366732 1.684235 2.061629 2.544395 3.147207 3.877237 4.831694
2025-09-21 1.116114 1.466558 1.911824 2.521503 3.338487 4.400913 5.896221
2025-09-28 0.910187 1.263397 1.738565 2.428512 3.411492 4.771775 6.814541
2025-10-05 0.820272 1.196272 1.728896 2.544639 3.773769 5.574627 8.446064
2025-10-12 0.749246 1.142197 1.725267 2.662364 4.147974 6.441001 10.303966
2025-10-19 0.677790 1.075219 1.690085 2.722321 4.436094 7.210056 12.125166
2025-10-26 0.615014 1.011745 1.649440 2.763768 4.694360 7.959944 14.024586
2025-11-02 0.542089 0.921369 1.552347 2.695584 4.754275 8.378933 15.406032
2025-11-09 0.468952 0.820945 1.425059 2.556254 4.666331 8.520277 16.293004
2025-11-16 0.423547 0.762953 1.363329 2.524107 4.765122 9.007876 17.903592
2025-11-23 0.382270 0.707257 1.298632 2.476953 4.826808 9.429318 19.441800
2025-11-30 0.363816 0.692910 1.310452 2.581937 5.209034 10.549747 22.649345
2025-12-07 0.339345 0.664217 1.291802 2.624771 5.473273 11.473447 25.605901
2025-12-14 0.310466 0.623402 1.244572 2.602960 5.599258 12.125858 28.074851
2025-12-21 0.277652 0.570777 1.167386 2.507752 5.552527 12.394784 29.700145
2025-12-28 0.268554 0.566219 1.188644 2.628385 6.004772 13.853707 34.463797
2026-01-04 0.260014 0.561765 1.209417 2.750473 6.478166 15.434881 39.833391
2026-01-11 0.247207 0.546432 1.204554 2.812672 6.817741 16.745970 44.748777
2026-01-18 0.234052 0.528775 1.192345 2.855649 7.116130 18.000425 49.752270
2026-01-25 0.214343 0.493851 1.136571 2.785127 7.116511 18.488467 52.696557
2026-02-01 0.191943 0.450189 1.055495 2.640962 6.904279 18.380695 53.888205
2026-02-08 0.178451 0.426447 1.019543 2.607708 6.984092 19.080500 57.640832